By Matt Murray
for the NH Labor News
Well, some interesting news came out today from the UNH Granite State Poll. Yesterday it was announced that President Obama was leading GOP hopeful Mitt Romney by 9 points. Now it appears that many Granite Staters are shifting their opinions on who they want for governor.
Personally I feel we in NH have been very lucky to have a wonderful governor over the last seven years. I am not alone in this thinking, either. As you can see by the chart below, John Lynch has held a favorability rating of over 60 percent for almost all of his seven years. His worst year being right around election time in 2010. It is also obvious that even though his approval rating dipped to just under 60 percent his disapproval rate never reached 30 percent. This shows that John Lynch really did appeal to both side of the political aisle.
|(UNH Survey Center)|
As I have said before and I will keep saying, this election could be one of the most important elections in New Hampshire's history. After fighting the extremist in the legislature for the last 18 months we have to work to ensure that good candidates who support labor are elected to all the positions in our state government. While the state rep elections are important the most important state election is the governor's seat. Without Gov. Lynch everything we fought to preserve this year would have sailed through with out a veto. This means we would have been a Right To Work for less state last March. Think back to all the bills that Governor Lynch vetoed this year. If the aint-worker extremists take over that seat we as labor will be crushed.
There is a silver lining. There is a glimmer of hope on the horizon. Maggie Hassan has been working very hard on her campaign for governor. Over the last few weeks she has collected endorsements from former and current state senators as well as few local unions. Maggie Hassan has also been been very vocal in her opposition to the attacks on New Hampshire workers. Her message seems to be resonating with the people of New Hampshire. In this UNH WMUR poll Maggie has gained eight points in the last two months. While the majority of NH voters are still undecided, Maggie has taken a four-point lead over GOP frontrunner Ovide Lamontagne. Lamontagne as well and Kevin Smith have both testified that they would sign a Right To Work bill if it came to their desk as governor.
"In a matchup between Hassan and Smith, 29 percent of likely voters say they will vote for Hassan, 24 percent for Smith, 1 percent for some other candidate and 46 percent are undecided".
|(UNH Survey Center)|
Let's not leave out Jackie Cilley.
When Cilley is matched with Lamontagne and Smith, the results are similar to those seen with Hassan. In a race between Lamontagne and Cilley, 31 percent of likely general election voters say they would vote for Cilley; 30 percent prefer Lamontagne; 1 percent favor some other candidate; and 38 percent are undecided.
And in a race between Smith and Cilley, 30 percent of likely general election voters say they would vote for Cilley; 23 percent prefer Smith; 1 percent favor some other candidate; and 47 percent are undecided.
I read this as people are not blindly following the GOP and the TEA Party Express as they did in the 2010 elections. This is showing that people are really following what the candidates have done, versus what they say they will do.
Full Results of the Granite State Poll
Health care reform key issue in New Hampshire governor race - NashuaTelegraph.com
New poll shows race to succeed Lynch as governor wide open | New Hampshire NEWS06